“Starship will never land in one piece on the moon or Mars”

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-03-12; known on 2030-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2021-03-12
• JoshuaZ said “Noting in response to this https://old.reddit.com/r/TrueSpace/comments/m2v3t3/the_truth_about_yusaku_maezawas_moon_lottery/gqmvt7s/ . Operationalizing as within 9 years to have a decent endpoint. ” on 2021-03-12
• jbeshir estimated 27% on 2021-03-15
• Medea estimated 20% on 2021-07-01