humans on mars by 2030

Created by htaussig on 2021-03-20; known on 2030-01-01

  • htaussig estimated 80% on 2021-03-20
  • htaussig changed the deadline from “on 2030-01-01” and made the prediction on 2021-03-20
  • Baeboo estimated 30% on 2021-03-21
  • lui estimated 10% on 2021-03-28
  • JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2021-03-29
  • lazydope estimated 25% on 2021-03-30
  • Konsti estimated 15% on 2021-04-01
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva estimated 90% and said “Possible.on 2021-04-03
  • predictorrr estimated 5% and said “Humans back on the moon by 2025? Likely. But I expect that the preparations for a manned Mars mission will take several unmanned missions first (recon, materials for a base) which will take much longer than just 5 years.on 2021-06-24
  • JoshuaZ estimated 26% and said “Updating based on current progress level. on 2021-06-25
  • JoshuaZ said “And thinking about this more. on 2021-06-25
  • scatterspace estimated 25% on 2021-06-26
  • jbeshir estimated 5% on 2021-06-28
  • Medea estimated 26% on 2021-07-01

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