Burning Man 2021 will happen (some time this fall at least 10k people will simultaneously be in Black Rock Desert)

Created by lithp on 2021-03-22; known on 2021-10-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2021-10-05.

• lithp estimated 70% on 2021-03-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2021-04-05
• lithp estimated 5% and said “People will be out there but it’s hard to imagine 10k of them will.” on 2021-05-01
• jbeshir estimated 10% on 2021-05-16
• stepan estimated 14% on 2021-09-20
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2021-10-05.
• PseudonymousUser said “20,000 or more showed up at the desert at the unofficial Burning Man event this year: http://eu.rgj.com/story/life/2021/09/09/unofficial-burning-man-2021-renegade-burn-nevada-reno-covid-19-black-rock-desert-pandemic/5754195001/” on 2021-10-05