Alexei Navalny (Alexei Anatolievich Navalny) (born 4 June 1976) dies within five (5) years

Created by two2thehead on 2021-04-13; known on 2026-04-13

• two2thehead estimated 51% on 2021-04-13
• two2thehead said “The nature of his death is not specified. The true false criterion is whether he dies or not.” on 2021-04-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2021-04-13
• two2thehead estimated 99% and said “I want to be wrong” on 2021-04-17
• lazydope estimated 95% on 2021-04-18
• lazydope estimated 80% and said “95% actually seems too confident” on 2021-04-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 64% and said “Based on recent reports by his doctor. ” on 2021-04-18
• qznc estimated 80% on 2021-04-18
• jbeshir estimated 80% on 2021-04-18
• Deepak estimated 80% on 2021-04-19
• batemancapital estimated 80% on 2021-04-21
• Alk estimated 80% on 2021-04-22
• two2thehead estimated 85% on 2021-04-27
• two2thehead estimated 90% on 2021-05-12
• two2thehead estimated 80% and said “I meant 80 percent” on 2021-05-12
• Ben estimated 80% on 2021-05-13
• omni estimated 50% on 2021-07-23
• atzeje estimated 68% on 2021-09-11
• lazydope estimated 60% on 2021-12-24
• atzeje estimated 23% on 2022-01-04
• Baeboo estimated 19% on 2022-01-04
• lazydope estimated 10% on 2022-04-28