PredictionBook is now read-only (

The J&J vaccine will be administered in the US on May 1st: either administration is not paused or it is paused and resumed before May 1st

Created by lithp on 2021-04-14; known on 2021-05-01; judged right by lithp on 2021-05-01.

  • lithp estimated 80% on 2021-04-14
  • stepan estimated 80% on 2021-04-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2021-04-30
  • lithp   judged this prediction right on 2021-05-01.
  • lithp said “Other people made predictions so I’m judging this correct, but this prediction is a learning experience, does it predict an unpause or administration? How does it treat worlds where some of the >50 different health departments in the US disagreeon 2021-05-01