X-Risk, Nuclear – Will there be at least one fatality from an offensive nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, conditioonal on there being an offensive detonation anywhere?
Created by jbeshir 22 days ago; known on 2050-01-01
- jbeshir estimated 25% 22 days ago
- jbeshir said “Resolves per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7453/fatality-from-nuclear-detonation-in-n-korea/” 22 days ago
Please log in to respond to or judge prediction