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Joey and Xio's study will find further evidence in favor of vegetarianism advocacy

Created by Peter Hurford on 2013-07-20; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by Peter Hurford on 2014-03-20.

  • Peter Hurford estimated 65% on 2013-07-20
  • Byron Johnson estimated 65% on 2013-07-21
  • Soeren estimated 50% and said “GiveWell say that the most cost-effective interventions turn out worse when further evidence comes in. So shouldn’t we expect to lower our estimates? I’m not sure though what “evidence in favor” is (That may change my prob.) on 2013-08-25
  • Peter Hurford   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-20.