At least 1 of the 9 people in I&M who are attending Hereticon will test positive for COVID before Jan 23.
- andymatuschak estimated 70% on 2022-01-09
- andymatuschak judged this prediction right on 2022-01-19.
- andymatuschak changed the deadline from “on 2022-01-23” and made the prediction on 2022-01-19
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