At least 1 of the 9 people in I&M who are attending Hereticon will test positive for COVID before Jan 23.

Created by andymatuschak on 2022-01-09; known on 2022-01-23; judged right by andymatuschak on 2022-01-19.

• andymatuschak estimated 70% on 2022-01-09
• andymatuschak   judged this prediction right on 2022-01-19.
• andymatuschak changed the deadline from “on 2022-01-23” and made the prediction on 2022-01-19