No Blue state to be in the top 5 for per a capita deaths from Covid by January 1, 2023.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-12; known on 2023-01-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2022-03-28.
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2022-01-12
- JoshuaZ said “Blue states for this purpose are states which voted for both Clinton and Biden. ” on 2022-01-12
- JoshuaZ said “Default data is https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/ . Use other data sets if a few days after deadline not updated.” on 2022-01-12
- JoshuaZ said “Note that currently only one blue state is in the top 5, New Jersey. Others were there, but have been trending down.” on 2022-01-12
- chemotaxis101 estimated 65% on 2022-01-12
- EloiseRosen estimated 55% on 2022-01-12
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% and said “#covid” on 2022-01-12
- JoshuaZ estimated 56% and said “Updating per https://acasignups.net/22/01/17/weekly-update-us-covid19-vaccination-levels-county-partisan-lean which suggests that partisan treatment of pandemic is increasing. ” on 2022-01-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 52% and said “Updating per recent NJ spike. ” on 2022-01-24
- JoshuaZ estimated 51% and said “Seriously, New Jersey, what the heck. ” on 2022-01-27
- JoshuaZ estimated 48% on 2022-02-14
- Paul.David.Carr estimated 60% on 2022-02-28
- JoshuaZ estimated 54% and said “Based on March 1 update data and general trends.” on 2022-03-01
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2022-03-07
- JoshuaZ estimated 56% on 2022-03-14
- JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2022-03-22
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2022-03-28.
- JoshuaZ said “Well that happened a lot earlier than I expected. ” on 2022-03-28