[ Geopolitics , Military ] Russia attacks Ukraine even further within 100 (one hundred) days
Created by two2thehead on 2022-02-10; known on 2022-05-21; judged right by two2thehead on 2022-02-22.
- two2thehead estimated 51% on 2022-02-10
- Jayson Virissimo said “What is “even further” supposed to mean here? Further than what? #war” on 2022-02-12
- PseudonymousUser estimated 54% on 2022-02-12
- PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2022-02-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 64% on 2022-02-14
- PseudonymousUser estimated 73% on 2022-02-18
- PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2022-02-19
- PseudonymousUser estimated 87% on 2022-02-19
- PseudonymousUser estimated 91% on 2022-02-20
- two2thehead estimated 99% and said “I’m going for broke” on 2022-02-20
- PseudonymousUser estimated 95% on 2022-02-21
- two2thehead said “Jayson Virissimo – Sorry for not replying earlier. This prediction was very much out of sample for me. That’s why I left it vague and open ended. Next time I’ll mention that fact when I make the prediction.” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead said “I’m almost certain that this prediction has been proven true, but ideally I want something like the BBC or the NYTimes to say ’’Putin has officially into LPR or DPR"” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead said “has officially moved troops into” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead said “‘President Joe Biden declared Tuesday that Russia’s latest moves amounted to “the beginning of a Russian invasion of Ukraine,”’ https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-begins-sanction-russia-beginning-invasion-ukraine/story?id=83041555” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead said “Good enough for me. Great for my Brier score, bad for the world. Potato, precision artillery strike.” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead said “thank you to kuudes for sharing the above link” on 2022-02-22
- two2thehead judged this prediction right on 2022-02-22.