COVID – There is a new dominant strain of COVID replacing Omicron by end of 2022, and it is derived from Omicron.

Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-16; known on 2023-01-01; judged right by jbeshir on 2023-01-03.

• jbeshir estimated 60% on 2022-02-16
• jbeshir said “Details of resolution criteria per https://manifold.markets/GustavoLacerda/will-the-next-dominant-strain-of-sa, if doubt exists about that market being correctly resolved will judge independently” on 2022-02-16
• one2many estimated 70% on 2022-02-28
• jbeshir   judged this prediction right on 2023-01-03.