Human level AI across all virtual tasks before 2028.

Created by nathanpmyoung on 2022-02-16; known on 2028-01-01

• nathanpmyoung estimated 15% on 2022-02-16
• nathanpmyoung estimated 12% and said “15 seemed high” on 2022-02-16
• PseudonymousUser said “For some simple Atari 2600 games, like Montezuma’s revenge, it currently takes longer for an AI to learn to play well, compared to a human. If this continues into 2028, would your prediction be false? Or perhaps only final performance matters? ” on 2022-02-17