Human level AI across all virtual tasks before 2028.
Created by nathanpmyoung on 2022-02-16; known on 2028-01-01
- nathanpmyoung estimated 15% on 2022-02-16
- nathanpmyoung estimated 12% and said “15 seemed high” on 2022-02-16
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “For some simple Atari 2600 games, like Montezuma’s revenge, it currently takes longer for an AI to learn to play well, compared to a human. If this continues into 2028, would your prediction be false? Or perhaps only final performance matters? ” on 2022-02-17
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