Tech – There is strongly implicating evidence that someone did something causing the loss of >=1 QALY of life in order to profit on Manifold Markets by deadline

Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-17; known on 2022-07-02; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-07-03.

• jbeshir estimated 3% on 2022-02-17
• jbeshir said “Look at https://manifold.markets/Lauren/before-july-1-will-there-be-strongl for relevant news, but this Q will be judged independently” on 2022-02-17
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-07-03.