Russian-Ukrainian War – Will Russia control Kyiv as of April 2, 2022

Created by jbeshir on 2022-02-26; known on 2022-04-03; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2022-04-03.

• jbeshir estimated 80% on 2022-02-26
• JoshuaZ said “Control defined how? ” on 2022-02-26
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 40% on 2022-02-28
• Baeboo estimated 4% on 2022-02-28
• Baeboo said “#russiaukraine” on 2022-02-28
• EloiseRosen estimated 70% on 2022-03-01
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2022-03-04
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2022-03-05
• jbeshir estimated 28% on 2022-03-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2022-03-06
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2022-03-08
• chemotaxis101 estimated 5% on 2022-03-08
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2022-03-15
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2022-03-16
• atzeje estimated 67% and said “I’d interpret as territorial/military control (whatever that means). The variance of estimates is fascinating.” on 2022-03-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2022-03-30
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2022-03-31
• adanvers estimated 4% on 2022-03-31
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-04-03.