Russian sovereign debt default by May 1, 2022

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-03-09; known 16 days ago; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum 15 days ago.

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 55% on 2022-03-09
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 63% and said “Can’t rule out a dollar-denominated loan from China arriving in the near termon 2022-03-15
  • Baeboo estimated 76% on 2022-03-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2022-03-16
  • Baeboo estimated 57% on 2022-03-17
  • Baeboo estimated 36% on 2022-03-17
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 20% on 2022-03-18
  • Baeboo said “#russiaon 2022-03-18
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “PSA: This prediction was intended to cover the 30 day grace period for a payment they’ve already made. It wont cover the possible upcoming default. on 2022-04-12
  • Tapetum-Lucidum   judged this prediction wrong 15 days ago.

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