China attempts a full scale invasion of Taiwan in 2022.

Created by atzeje on 2022-03-16; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2023-01-01.

• atzeje estimated 15% on 2022-03-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 8% on 2022-03-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2022-04-03
• edrevo estimated 5% on 2022-04-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2022-04-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “They’re busy with covid still and won’t be fully decoupled economically anyways, so it probably won’t happen for a few more years, if at all. ” on 2022-04-26
• n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2022-10-29
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2022-10-30
• Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-01-01.