China attempts a full scale invasion of Taiwan in 2022.

Created by atzeje on 2022-03-16; known in 26 days

  • atzeje estimated 15% on 2022-03-16
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 8% on 2022-03-16
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 3% on 2022-04-03
  • edrevo estimated 5% on 2022-04-05
  • JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2022-04-05
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 1% and said “They’re busy with covid still and won’t be fully decoupled economically anyways, so it probably won’t happen for a few more years, if at all. on 2022-04-26
  • n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2022-10-29
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2022-10-30

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