Ukraine to surrender to Russia by May 1st.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-03-18; known on 2022-05-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2022-05-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2022-03-18
• JoshuaZ said “Context: this bet https://old.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/tgotsn/marjorie_taylor_greene_says_us_should_stop/i14fe1q/ ” on 2022-03-18
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2022-03-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 12% on 2022-03-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 9% on 2022-03-20
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% on 2022-03-21
• adanvers estimated 2% on 2022-03-31
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2022-04-25
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2022-04-25
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2022-04-26
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-05-01.