Shoigu remains as Russian Minister of Defense until the end of Putin's current term.

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-03-27; known on 2024-05-01

• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 67% on 2022-03-27
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “In the unlikely event that Putin retires or passes before the deadline, for purposes of this prediction, his current term is considered to have ended early. ” on 2022-03-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2022-03-27
• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 38% and said “https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/03/30/russias-vladimir-putin-feels-military-leaders-misled-him-about-ukraine.html” on 2022-03-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2022-03-31
• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 64% on 2022-04-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% on 2022-04-11
• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 70% on 2022-04-26

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