HP MoR: Quirinus Quirrell is actually Nymphadora Tonks.

Created by ygert on 2013-07-25; known on 2014-07-25; judged wrong by 75th on 2015-03-13.

• ygert estimated 0% on 2013-07-25
• ygert changed the deadline from “on 2014-07-25” and changed their prediction from “HP MoR: Quirinus Quirrell is actually Nymphadora Tonks. (http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/i4r/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/9ggx?context=1#comments)” on 2013-07-25
• ygert said “http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/i4r/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/9ggx?context=1#comments” on 2013-07-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2013-07-25
• ArisKatsaris estimated 0% on 2013-07-25
• Daphron estimated 0% on 2013-07-26
• jasticE estimated 0% on 2013-07-27
• halfwit estimated 0% on 2013-07-27
• lavalamp estimated 1% on 2013-07-31
• Osuniev estimated 0% on 2013-07-31
• nigr estimated 0% and said “meh” on 2013-08-15
• Flipnash estimated 0% on 2013-08-17
• Ham Nox estimated 0% on 2014-05-18
• player_03 estimated 2% on 2014-05-19
• Jenson estimated 1% on 2014-06-26
• Osuniev estimated 1% on 2014-08-02
• 75th   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-13.