Russian troops invade Moldova

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-02; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2023-01-29.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 13% on 2022-05-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2022-05-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 34% and said “Interpreting this as troops move outside Transnistria since there are Russian troops there already. ” on 2022-05-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2022-05-04
• PseudonymousUser said “Yeah, that’s better, thanks for clarifying” on 2022-05-05
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-01-29.