PredictionBook is now read-only (

I will have a positive covid test in the next five days.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-06-10; known on 2022-06-16; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2022-06-16.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2022-06-10
  • JoshuaZ said “Context: went to a graduation even where I was masked and I found out after the fact that multiple members of the choir had just tested positive for covid. on 2022-06-10
  • JoshuaZ estimated 4% and said “Todays test was negative. on 2022-06-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2022-06-15
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-06-16.