PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

We will not have a Singularity or intelligence explosion, of the sort predicted by Yudkowsky in 'The Hanson-Yudkowsky AI-Foom Debate – LessWrong' by 2025

Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-06-22; known on 2025-01-01

  • johnmichaelbridge estimated 99% on 2022-06-22
  • Baeboo estimated 97% on 2022-06-22
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 99% and said “We lack the infrastructure to collect sufficient/comprehensive data about daily life, and this will not change in the next three years.on 2022-06-27
  • JoshuaZ estimated 98% on 2022-06-28
  • niplav estimated 85% on 2022-07-12
  • Baeboo said “#singularityon 2022-07-12
  • Medea estimated 98% on 2022-09-08
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 98% on 2022-10-02