Labour's current civil war (progress/unite) will cause the formation of a successful and large second party.

Created by thostian on 2013-07-31; known on 2013-11-11; judged wrong by thostian on 2014-09-20.

• thostian estimated 5% on 2013-07-31
• halfwit estimated 8% on 2013-08-02
• thostian   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-20.