The adversarial policies we've trained as of July 27, 2022 will have a win rate of under 50% against the medium KataGo checkpoint at 512 playouts with the hardened passing policy proposed by Tony.

Created by norabelrose on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-07-30

• norabelrose estimated 85% on 2022-07-28
• norabelrose changed the deadline from “on 2022-07-30” and changed their prediction from “The adversarial policies we've trained as of July 27, 2022 will have a win rate of under 50% against the medium KataGo checkpoint with the hardened passing policy proposed by Tony.” on 2022-07-28