I will resolve all of the predictions I will make today once they are running out, within one week of them running out (for events that have a resolution deadline within one week of the end of SERI MATS).

Created by Johannes C. Mayer on 2022-07-28; known on 2022-09-22; judged right by Johannes C. Mayer on 2022-09-22.

• Johannes C. Mayer estimated 40% on 2022-07-28
• Johannes C. Mayer   judged this prediction right on 2022-09-22.