A human has set foot on Mars

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-08-11; known on 2031-01-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2022-08-11
• PseudonymousUser said “Tim Urban mentioned on the Lex Fridman podcast that he has a bet that this will happen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Jd7fJgFkPU&t=2052s” on 2022-08-11
• chemotaxis101 estimated 15% on 2022-08-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 14% on 2022-08-13
• Baeboo estimated 13% on 2022-08-14
• Medea estimated 10% on 2022-09-08
• Baeboo estimated 12% on 2022-09-08
• Baeboo said “#mars” on 2022-09-08
• atzeje estimated 3% and said “They need to start 500 days beforehand…” on 2022-09-17
• LetMeIn estimated 0% and said “Not yet…” on 2022-10-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2022-10-03
• meedstrom estimated 3% on 2022-10-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 9% on 2022-10-23
• Medea estimated 8% on 2023-02-01