Will it turn out by 2026 that grokking is essentially the same thing as phase shifts in thermodynamics/statistical mechanics?

Created by Morpheus on 2022-12-16; known on 2026-01-01

• Morpheus estimated 20% on 2022-12-16
• Morpheus said “(Johnwentworth stated this as his working hypothesis in this blogpost: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BzYmJYECAc3xyCTt6/the-plan-2022-update)) ” on 2022-12-16
• Morpheus estimated 25% on 2022-12-16
• Morpheus estimated 70% and said “https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fovfuFdpuEwQzJu2w/neural-networks-generalize-because-of-this-one-weird-trick” on 2023-01-18