[At decision squares, the 5×5 rand-region cheese maze network will put max cumulative probability on the maximal-advantage action at least] 50% of the time

Created by TurnTrout on 2023-02-09; known on 2023-02-16

  • TurnTrout estimated 60% on 2023-02-09
  • peligrietzer estimated 70% on 2023-02-09
  • uli estimated 80% and said “Base rate is 1 : 2, needs evidence of 2: 1 to get 50%, which I think is provided by model capabilities. only reason I don’t put higher: the advantage function could be totally fucked for some reason, I haven’t seen obvious patterns in it yet.on 2023-02-12
  • TurnTrout changed the deadline from “on 2023-02-1625 days ago
  • rhaps0dy estimated 85% 24 days ago

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