Within two years, there will be some mechanism for direct karma transfer implemented on Less Wrong. (Karma betting, karma bounties, or the like.)

Created by ygert on 2013-08-25; known on 2015-08-24; judged right by ygert on 2014-02-17.

• ygert estimated 45% on 2013-08-25
• Peter Hurford estimated 20% on 2013-08-26
• ygert   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-17.
• ygert said “http://lesswrong.com/karma” on 2014-02-17