Sam and Toby will win the race to reach the bottom of New Zealand. [please only predict if you don't have a Nebula subscription]
Created by danielfilan on 2023-03-09; known on 2023-05-02; judged right by danielfilan on 2023-07-11.
- danielfilan estimated 50% on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan said “(note that I don’t have a nebula subscription)” on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan changed the deadline from “on 2023-05-01” and changed their prediction from “Sam and Toby will win the race to reach the bottom of New Zealand.” on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan estimated 55% on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan estimated 45% on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan estimated 44% on 2023-03-09
- danielfilan estimated 46% on 2023-03-16
- danielfilan judged this prediction right on 2023-07-11.