In three yeasr, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned.

Created by JoshuaZ 11 days ago; known on 2026-03-15

• JoshuaZ estimated 64% 11 days ago
• JoshuaZ said “Context https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/11rcj0a/gpt4_is_out_and_the_results_are_astounding_better/jc83ujr/ . ” 11 days ago
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2024-03-15” and changed their prediction from “In one year, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned.” 11 days ago
• JoshuaZ estimated 62% and said “They prefer a three year prediction.” 11 days ago
• JoshuaZ estimated 58% and said “Reducing confidence based on https://ai.googleblog.com/2023/03/palm-e-embodied-multimodal-language.html” 4 days ago

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