In three yeasr, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-03-15; known on 2026-03-15

• JoshuaZ estimated 64% on 2023-03-15
• JoshuaZ said “Context https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/11rcj0a/gpt4_is_out_and_the_results_are_astounding_better/jc83ujr/ . ” on 2023-03-15
• JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2024-03-15” and changed their prediction from “In one year, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned.” on 2023-03-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 62% and said “They prefer a three year prediction.” on 2023-03-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 58% and said “Reducing confidence based on https://ai.googleblog.com/2023/03/palm-e-embodied-multimodal-language.html” on 2023-03-22