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US to launch strikes on Syria by September 21, 2013

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-08-31; known on 2013-09-21; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-09-21.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-08-31
  • azax1 estimated 10% and said “Politics doesn’t work on a 3-week timescale.on 2013-09-01
  • Peter Hurford estimated 30% on 2013-09-02
  • phreeza estimated 35% on 2013-09-02
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% and said “I have consistently underestimated Obama’s hawkishness since he was elected. It is like those beliefs are sticky. WTF brain?!on 2013-09-04
  • Osuniev estimated 5% on 2013-09-05
  • ossicones estimated 10% on 2013-09-09
  • drobb estimated 35% on 2013-09-10
  • Flipnash estimated 20% on 2013-09-10
  • RobertLumley estimated 10% on 2013-09-13
  • ksvanhorn estimated 5% on 2013-09-17
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-09-21.