No one will win Sam Harris's prize for convincing him that his book is wrong

Created by Omid on 2013-09-01; known on 2014-11-01; judged right by Matt2000 on 2014-11-01.

• Omid estimated 80% on 2013-09-01
• Peter Hurford estimated 90% on 2013-09-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 85% on 2013-09-02
• procran estimated 90% on 2013-09-03
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2013-09-04
• Michael Dickens estimated 90% on 2013-09-07
• holycow81 estimated 86% on 2013-09-08
• vital303 estimated 100% on 2013-09-10
• Flipnash estimated 60% on 2013-09-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2013-09-15
• Silver estimated 75% on 2014-08-30
• kbaxter estimated 95% on 2014-09-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2014-09-11
• Ham Nox estimated 90% on 2014-09-13
• Matt2000 estimated 95% on 2014-09-14
• rebellionkid estimated 99% on 2014-10-06
• tylercurtis estimated 95% on 2014-10-08
• Jayson Virissimo said “He should get an award for best anti-rationality technique: make updating on new evidence cost you money.” on 2014-10-12
• from3004 estimated 80% on 2014-10-22
• erikbjare estimated 95% on 2014-10-30
• Matt2000   judged this prediction right on 2014-11-01.