Either Microsoft will sue Google using a Nokia patent, or Google will sue Microsoft using a Motorola patent.

Created by quanticle on 2013-09-03; known on 2014-09-03; judged wrong by quanticle on 2014-09-03.

• quanticle estimated 75% on 2013-09-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “I suspect that if one happens the other will happen soon after. ” on 2013-09-03
• lavalamp estimated 40% on 2013-09-03
• dk estimated 10% and said “Microsoft didn’t buy any Nokia patents. I suppose it’s possible that Google will sue MS as retaliation for Nokia becoming a troll, but unlikely.” on 2013-09-04
• Ben Doherty estimated 30% on 2013-09-08
• quanticle   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-09-03.