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Bakhmut completely in Ukrainian control by June 30, 2023

Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-05-12; known on 2023-06-30; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2023-07-03.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2023-05-12
  • JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2023-05-20
  • JoshuaZ said “Hard to judge given the current fog of war + OPSEC, but very likely wrong. I will wait a few days before marking it so it is more clear cut.on 2023-06-30
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-07-03.

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