By 2050 travelling by plane would be a luxury (less than 1 % of the world population) (because of resource depletion, or others) .

Created by Osuniev on 2013-09-05; known on 2050-01-01

• Osuniev estimated 55% on 2013-09-05
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2013-09-05
• JoshuaZ said “Note that currently a much larger fraction does use it, but it is actually a minority of the total population http://www.iata.org/pressroom/industry_stats/2003-04-10-01.htm” on 2013-09-05
• JoshuaZ said “Also, last bit suggests that percentage using air travel is currently growing. ” on 2013-09-05
• procran estimated 10% on 2013-09-05
• Jayson Virissimo said “I really don’t like predictions containing “because”, since you can’t easily verify the statement even after the deadline.” on 2013-09-07
• Osuniev said “Unsure about the rest of the world, but it is very usual in Western Europe to go on a few days of vacation in Northern Africa, Spain, Italy… using cheap flights of Ryanair & cie. ” on 2013-09-11
• ygert said “I agree with Jayson Virissimo. I do not feel confident in making a prediction on this for exactly the same reason.” on 2013-09-11
• Osuniev changed the deadline from “on 2050-01-01” and changed their prediction from “By 2050 travelling by plane would be a luxury (less than 1 % of the world population) because of resource depletion.” on 2013-09-15
• RandomThinker estimated 15% on 2013-09-17