General consensus that LK-99 or some component of it is a room temp superconductor by Sept 1, 2024

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2023-08-02; known on 2024-09-01

• PseudonymousUser estimated 43% on 2023-08-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 53% on 2023-08-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 62% on 2023-08-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2023-08-05
• PseudonymousUser estimated 73% and said “Stay tuned and witness the miracle” on 2023-08-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2023-08-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 10% and said “Updating per https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.03218 .” on 2023-08-08
• PseudonymousUser said “That explains half levitation, and the paper below explains the resistivity drop found by the initial research. Link: https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.04353” on 2023-08-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 35% and said “There is ongoing hype by an anonymous Douyin account Ah Xiang, who previously released a video claiming full levitation. Just a few hours ago, the same account insinuated that their paper was about to be published, presumably on arxiv. ” on 2023-08-09
• PseudonymousUser said “Full levitation remains to be proven, but would be unexplained by existing works” on 2023-08-09
• PseudonymousUser said “I mistook your link. This paper explains half-levitation https://arxiv.org/abs/2308.03110” on 2023-08-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 13% on 2023-08-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2023-08-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2023-08-10