Democratic candidate to win 2016 presidential election by greater margin than Obama did in 2012.
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-09-20; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-09.
- NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2013-09-20
- adbge estimated 40% on 2013-09-22
- lavalamp estimated 30% on 2013-09-24
- HonoreDB estimated 30% on 2013-09-27
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 45% on 2013-09-27
- shaldengeki said “Which margin? Electoral or popular?” on 2013-10-01
- NathanMcKnight said “Electoral (almost certainly also popular, but the electoral margin is what I’m concerned with here). ” on 2013-10-03
- Ben Doherty estimated 25% on 2013-10-03
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2013-10-03
- Peter Hurford estimated 40% on 2013-10-07
- themusicgod1 estimated 7% on 2016-07-10
- themusicgod1 judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.