“I make the falsifiable prediction that during Pope Francis's tenure the Catholic Church will shrink, its proportional membership will diminish and its contributions per member will drop.” — EY (on Facebook)

Created by ygert on 2013-09-20; known on 2023-09-20

• ygert estimated 80% on 2013-09-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2013-09-20
• RandomThinker said “what’s proportional membership? ” on 2013-09-20
• ygert said “Presumably, its membership as a proportion of the worlds population. That is to say, we are looking not at the absolute number of catholic people, but rather at the percentage of the world that is catholic.” on 2013-09-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 65% on 2013-09-30
• drewmm estimated 55% on 2013-10-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 52% on 2016-07-30