Government shutdown to end by October 25
Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-10-01; known on 2013-10-25; judged right by nshepperd on 2013-10-17.
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-10-01
- RandomThinker said “It’ll probably end Oct 17, unless they figure a way around the debt limit. Wall Street will demand it. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-25/lew-says-extraordinary-measures-exhausted-no-later-than-oct-17.html ” on 2013-10-01
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-10-01
- lavalamp estimated 90% and said “http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/09/25/here-is-every-previous-government-shutdown-why-they-happened-and-how-they-ended/” on 2013-10-01
- JoshuaZ said “In theory you could have a debt ceiling increase without stopping the current shut down. Weird, but possible. ” on 2013-10-02
- HonoreDB estimated 70% on 2013-10-02
- RandomThinker said “@Joshua yea that is very possible. Although if they gave up on debt ceiling, they’d probably give up on this too, since this is hurting them and debt ceiling is a bigger run.” on 2013-10-02
- RandomThinker said “@Joshua yea that is very possible. Although if they gave up on debt ceiling, they’d probably give up on this too, since this is hurting them and debt ceiling is a bigger gun.” on 2013-10-02
- phreeza estimated 66% on 2013-10-02
- adbge estimated 90% on 2013-10-02
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2013-10-02
- Ben Doherty estimated 50% on 2013-10-03
- avalade estimated 70% on 2013-10-03
- revtintin estimated 85% on 2013-10-03
- prototrout estimated 67% on 2013-10-03
- foo estimated 95% on 2013-10-04
- Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-10-05
- JoshuaZ estimated 71% on 2013-10-06
- Peter Hurford estimated 90% on 2013-10-07
- dimitry12 estimated 20% and said “1 week into shutdown, 2.5 weeks to go before Oct 25. Federal budget seem to be a significant enough and safe enough thing to fight around. Parties seem to be unwilling to budge. Debt limit can be passed independently of federal budget.” on 2013-10-07
- PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2013-10-07
- drobb estimated 78% on 2013-10-08
- alecbrooks estimated 60% on 2013-10-08
- duman estimated 85% on 2013-10-09
- procran estimated 60% on 2013-10-14
- nshepperd judged this prediction right on 2013-10-17.
- nshepperd said “Ended today, according to http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57607903/open-for-business-government-shutdown-default-averted/” on 2013-10-17