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Government shutdown will continue past Oct 8, 2013 (ie more than a week since its beginning)

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-10-04; known on 2013-10-08; judged right by foo on 2013-10-08.

  • RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-10-04
  • RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2013-10-08” and changed their prediction from “Government shutdown will continue past Oct 8, 2013 (ie more than a week)” on 2013-10-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-10-04
  • RobertLumley estimated 70% on 2013-10-04
  • prototrout estimated 67% on 2013-10-04
  • foo estimated 75% on 2013-10-04
  • mccartytim estimated 76% on 2013-10-05
  • Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-10-05
  • alecbrooks estimated 75% on 2013-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Updating on apparent lack of progress and Cruz apparently hunkering down.on 2013-10-06
  • Peter Hurford estimated 80% on 2013-10-07
  • dimitry12 estimated 100% and said “There is no reason for any party to change this equilibrium state.on 2013-10-07
  • trashrabbit estimated 90% on 2013-10-08
  • schimmy estimated 95% on 2013-10-08
  • foo estimated 90% on 2013-10-08
  • drobb estimated 95% on 2013-10-08
  • foo   judged this prediction right on 2013-10-08.