Government shutdown will continue past Oct 8, 2013 (ie more than a week since its beginning)
Created by RandomThinker on 2013-10-04; known on 2013-10-08; judged right by foo on 2013-10-08.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2013-10-04
- RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2013-10-08” and changed their prediction from “Government shutdown will continue past Oct 8, 2013 (ie more than a week)” on 2013-10-04
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-10-04
- RobertLumley estimated 70% on 2013-10-04
- prototrout estimated 67% on 2013-10-04
- foo estimated 75% on 2013-10-04
- mccartytim estimated 76% on 2013-10-05
- Tuxedage estimated 80% on 2013-10-05
- alecbrooks estimated 75% on 2013-10-06
- JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Updating on apparent lack of progress and Cruz apparently hunkering down.” on 2013-10-06
- Peter Hurford estimated 80% on 2013-10-07
- dimitry12 estimated 100% and said “There is no reason for any party to change this equilibrium state.” on 2013-10-07
- trashrabbit estimated 90% on 2013-10-08
- schimmy estimated 95% on 2013-10-08
- foo estimated 90% on 2013-10-08
- drobb estimated 95% on 2013-10-08
- foo judged this prediction right on 2013-10-08.