Government shutdown will continue past Oct 15, 2013 (ie more than 2 weeks since its beginning)

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-10-04; known on 2013-10-16; judged right by prototrout on 2013-10-16.

• RandomThinker estimated 50% on 2013-10-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2013-10-04
• prototrout estimated 40% on 2013-10-04
• foo estimated 25% on 2013-10-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 58% and said “Updating per reasoning on 21581.” on 2013-10-06
• Peter Hurford estimated 40% on 2013-10-07
• schimmy estimated 30% on 2013-10-08
• drobb estimated 47% on 2013-10-08
• Katie Hartman estimated 38% on 2013-10-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 40% on 2013-10-11
• foo estimated 60% on 2013-10-14
• prototrout   judged this prediction right on 2013-10-16.