I will post my planned comment on Occam's Razor on Less Wrong (see http://lesswrong.com/lw/s0/where_recursive_justification_hits_bottom/9vi3) in the next 6 months, as opposed to later than that (or never).

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-10-10; known on 2014-04-10; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2014-04-10.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2013-10-10
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-04-10.