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By 2015, youtube.com will have an option (or default) that serves HTML5 video for >80% of the videos linked on their homepage.

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-11-15; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-01-01.

  • PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2013-11-15
  • PseudonymousUser said “This will be judged by testing it once, as early as possible in 2015 UTC, with the latest stable version of Firefox, with no plugins or extensions enabled, from a US IP address.” on 2013-11-15
  • PseudonymousUser said “(An H.264-capable Firefox.)” on 2013-11-15
  • PseudonymousUser said “Note that with today’s HTML5 Trial enabled, ~50% or more of the videos on the homepage still require Flash.” on 2013-11-15
  • PseudonymousUser said “Approximately all of the videos on the homepage load fine in Firefox 34.0.5 on Windows 8.1, without a Flash plugin installed.” on 2015-01-01
  • PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.