On the HBWI? scale, the event will score in the interval (2.5,5], and I will not reach Threshold 1 (see http://predictionbook.com/predictions/22504).

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-17; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-17.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 10% on 2013-12-17
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-17.