A virtual reality headset (Oculus Rift-esque) sells more than a million units within the next 5 years.

Created by adbge on 2013-12-26; known on 2018-12-26; judged right by bendini on 2017-06-05.

• adbge estimated 90% on 2013-12-26
• PseudonymousUser estimated 90% on 2013-12-27
• bendini estimated 95% and said “If the kinect is anything to go by then I struggle to see how this wouldn’t happen” on 2013-12-27
• lavalamp estimated 90% on 2013-12-27
• qap estimated 90% on 2013-12-28
• Michael Dickens estimated 90% on 2013-12-29
• atroche estimated 60% on 2013-12-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 85% on 2013-12-30
• hedges estimated 90% on 2013-12-30
• deanmullen2014 estimated 75% on 2013-12-31
• Kaj_Sotala estimated 80% on 2014-01-01
• ChristianKl estimated 90% on 2014-01-02
• lettergram estimated 80% on 2014-01-02
• Mathias Zaman estimated 95% and said “More than one million isn’t that many. Even if only early adopters and some hobbyist buy it, you’ll breach more than one million.” on 2014-01-02
• fela estimated 88% on 2014-01-04
• Ben Doherty estimated 80% on 2014-01-04
• flyingfox estimated 95% on 2014-01-15
• atroche estimated 80% and said “Updating based on this: http://media.steampowered.com/apps/abrashblog/Abrash%20Dev%20Days%202014.pdf” on 2014-01-19
• PseudonymousUser estimated 97% on 2016-01-06
• EloiseRosen estimated 80% on 2016-01-06
• PseudonymousUser said “‘Oculus expects to sell “north of a million units” for first consumer Rift.’” on 2016-01-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2016-02-16
• PseudonymousUser estimated 95% on 2016-02-16
• themusicgod1 estimated 60% on 2016-03-11
• bendini said “https://www.theverge.com/2017/6/5/15719382/playstation-vr-sony-sales-one-million” on 2017-06-05
• bendini   judged this prediction right on 2017-06-05.