I will finish the equivalent of second year physics by end 3q 2014 Specifically I will have done the exercises from the special relativity, electromagnetism and thermal physics texts.

Created by waveman on 2014-01-01; known on 2014-09-30; judged wrong by waveman on 2014-11-02.

• waveman estimated 50% on 2014-01-01
• waveman said “Not going to happen. Now targetting end of 2014.” on 2014-03-28
• waveman   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-04-01.
• waveman changed the deadline from “on 2014-03-31” and changed their prediction from “I will finish the equivalent of second year physics by end 1q 2014 Specifically I will have done the exercises from the special relativity, electromagnetism and thermal physics texts.” on 2014-04-12
• waveman said “Changed to 3q 2014 which seems realistic” on 2014-04-12
• waveman   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-06-09.
• waveman estimated 30% and said “Looking dubious now. Electromagnetism is taking longer than I expected.” on 2014-07-12
• Grognor said “it doesn’t count if you turn one prediction into another one rather than making two predictions” on 2014-08-20
• waveman said “In the end I got pretty close. I have exercises for 1/2 of the thermal physics book to do and then I am done. ” on 2014-09-30
• waveman said “DIdn’t make it” on 2014-11-02
• waveman   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-11-02.