PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

The One Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge prize goes unclaimed.

Created by adbge on 2014-01-02; known on 2015-01-02; judged right by mad on 2015-01-03.

  • adbge estimated 99% on 2014-01-02
  • ChristianKl estimated 99% on 2014-01-03
  • HonoreDB estimated 99% on 2014-01-04
  • Iluvatar estimated 99% on 2014-01-04
  • fela estimated 96% on 2014-01-04
  • mfb estimated 99% on 2014-01-13
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 99% on 2014-01-28
  • mad estimated 100% and said “100% means “almost surely”. If running this challenge for 100 years I would not expect even one successful claim.on 2014-01-29
  • mad   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-03.