The One Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge prize goes unclaimed.
Created by adbge on 2014-01-02; known on 2015-01-02; judged right by mad on 2015-01-03.
- adbge estimated 99% on 2014-01-02
- ChristianKl estimated 99% on 2014-01-03
- HonoreDB estimated 99% on 2014-01-04
- Iluvatar estimated 99% on 2014-01-04
- fela estimated 96% on 2014-01-04
- mfb estimated 99% on 2014-01-13
- Andrew MacFie estimated 99% on 2014-01-28
- mad estimated 100% and said “100% means “almost surely”. If running this challenge for 100 years I would not expect even one successful claim.” on 2014-01-29
- mad judged this prediction right on 2015-01-03.