Dogecoin will be worth less than 40 Satoshis ($0.00036240) at June 2014. (At 3 Jan 2014 bitcoin prices)

Created by Tuxedage on 2014-01-03; known on 2014-06-17; judged wrong by Tuxedage on 2014-06-17.

• Tuxedage estimated 78% on 2014-01-03
• Tuxedage changed the deadline from “on 2014-06-16” and changed their prediction from “Dogecoin will be worth less than 40 Satoshis by June 2014.” on 2014-01-03
• Tuxedage changed the deadline from “on 2014-06-16” and changed their prediction from “Dogecoin will be worth less than 40 Satoshis by June 2014. (At 3 Jan 2014 bitcoin prices)” on 2014-01-03
• nshepperd estimated 52% and said “40 satoshis is approximately current price. Of course the dogecoin market probably isn’t efficient, but whatever.” on 2014-01-03
• nshepperd said “That’s 0.80367e-5 USD at current prices.” on 2014-01-03
• nshepperd said “Agh, no, it’s 3.21468e-4 USD (0.80367e-5 USD is one satoshi).” on 2014-01-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 50% on 2014-01-03
• Tuxedage changed the deadline from “on 2014-06-17” and changed their prediction from “Dogecoin will be worth less than 40 Satoshis at June 2014. (At 3 Jan 2014 bitcoin prices)” on 2014-01-04
• saturn estimated 50% on 2014-01-04
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 60% on 2014-01-10
• nshepperd estimated 60% on 2014-01-22
• Tuxedage said “I completely fucked up this prediction. I don’t know why I was so ridiculously bear at this time. Holy crap. Why did I put this ridiculous probability estimate? Oh well.” on 2014-02-13
• Tuxedage estimated 2% on 2014-02-13
• Tuxedage   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-06-17.