I will leave my italian duolingo streak unbroken until at least January 1st, 2015

Created by mad on 2014-01-20; known on 2015-01-01; judged right by mad on 2015-01-01.

• mad estimated 10% on 2014-01-20
• mad estimated 20% and said “Today (29/1/14) I have a 48 day streak. Increased my probability as copernican principle says I have a 50% chance of doing more than 144 days.” on 2014-01-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2014-03-06
• mad said “My streak is now at about 114. I have a concern that a planned camping trip will leave me without internet for several days, but will work out options for charging my phone from my car.” on 2014-04-03
• mad estimated 30% and said “Up to 180 days.” on 2014-06-16
• Jayson Virissimo said “Wow, nice job.” on 2014-06-16
• mad estimated 60% and said “Went camping, at 230 days now. Continuing the streak is a high priority for me now.” on 2014-07-29
• mad estimated 80% and said “On 306 days. Streak still going strong. Going on holiday at the end of November, that is the only thing that is a question mark, though I’ll have phone service.” on 2014-10-11
• mad estimated 99% and said “My streak is still ongoing.” on 2014-12-23
• mad   judged this prediction right on 2015-01-01.
• mad said “Fun fact: the streak is still unbroken, at some 1200 days” on 2017-05-08